Life Expectancy of Daily Newspapers in the Netherlands: The Period 1848 - 1997.

In 1848 freedom of press was written into the Constitution of the Kingdom of the Netherlands. This paper investigates the expected life span of daily newspapers in the Netherlands since then. Life expectancy depends on the cyclical evolution of the number of daily newspapers through time. The life cycle of the competitive newspaper industry in the Netherlands is characterized by a turning period of turmoil during World War II. Models that aim at estimating the expected lifetime of newspaper that do not acknowledge the cyclical characteristics of the industry are most likely misspecified.Economics ;